今日资讯:

据消息,国际清算银行(BIS)行长Agustin Carstens否定了数字人民币“仅凭数字特性”取代美元储备地位的说法,他表示,“这些言论大部分都被夸大了,任何CBDC都不可能“仅凭数字特性”而赢得地缘政治储备货币之争。”最后他还称,央行数字货币可能会引发零售业中新的非银行部门参与浪潮,并撼动该行业。

BTC行情分析:

比特币午间再度上攻,高位触及59774位置后跳水3000点,低位触及56802位置后止跌随后反弹,目前价格运行在58690附近

4小时级别上看,收线5连阴,价格受布林中轨支撑不断上探测试布林上轨的压制力度,布林通道缩口,攻击线偏向下行,附图指标向上放量,价格有上行的意图,后市关注日内高点59770一线的压制情况,其次看61400一线

短周期小时图上,收线3连阳,价格测试布林上轨的压制力度,有上行的意图。于集鑫认为,目前的多头情绪逐渐回暖,价格有延续上行测试高点的动能,后市关注日内高点59770一线的压制情况,若能够打破,价格有望再度上攻测试61400一线,若不能打破,则大概率还是维持盘整的格局,操作建议顺趋势把握区间利润。

比特币后市操作建议:

1、价格回踩58000附近多单进场,止损300个点,目标看58400–58600–58800

2、价格反弹59700附近空单进场,止损300个点,目标看58900–59100–59300

3、价格破位60000轻仓跟多,目标看300–400个点

小鸟矿池研究发现,期货交易员过度使用杠杆,历史数据显示,比特币价格往往在期货溢价达到30%后崩盘。

3月30日可能会成为长久铭记的历史性日子。PayPal除了从3月25日的5.03万美元低点反弹17%外,还证实将为美国客户提供加密支付服务。此外,芝加哥商品交易所集团(CME Group)宣布,其微型比特币期货合约将于5月3日推出,合约规模从0.1 BTC开始。

此外,拥有250万订阅者的每日商业通讯Morning Brew最终宣布放弃黄金,并将比特币价格与标准普尔500指数、纳斯达克指数、道琼斯工业平均指数、10年期美国国债和摩根大通股票一起出现在其市场板块中。

3月30日也标志着BTC价格连续3周上涨,每日收盘价超过50,000美元。 因此,随着市场表明健康的巩固期,交易者应密切监视投资者使用的杠杆水平。从历史上看,崩盘往往发生在买家过于乐观的时候,任何价格波动超过8%都可能引发更大规模的连锁清算。

上图为BTC 2010–2021年这10年周期的长期周线走势,目前BTC已经完成了三次奖励减半,我们从图中可以发现,每一轮减半周期时间内,BTC走势都包括大牛市、熊市、底部区间吸筹、小牛拉升阶段、触顶回路再次吸筹阶段以及之后的新一轮牛市行情的开始,这在BTC2010–2013年第一次减半周期、2013–2016年第二次减半周期和2016–2021年第三次减半周期均得到验证,历史不会简单重复,但总是惊人相似,但BTC市场的规律特色一直没有改变,只是每个不同时期这些具体的特点稍有细微变化而已。

目前BTC已经完成了第三次周期演变,再次步入新的牛市箱体区间,目前整体运行轨道依旧完好,大方向仍保持震荡向上的节奏,目前也未出现见顶的标志,所以对于中长线投资者,还是要顺应趋势,不要被轻易洗下车,牛市进程中的大幅回落便是趋势低吸加仓的机会,耐心持有为主,等待后续主升浪行情的到来。

白天行情并没有预想中的那么火热,反而是比较平静,在临近期权交割的时候,价格还在持续向上反弹,直接站上了53000美元。这种情况就促使了两种可能性,一种是为了今天的风险,本周已经用了前四天的下跌来消化风险,所以当前行情按照正常下跌后反弹的走势在走,这一种可能性我们此前也有提过。另一种则是类似白天保持平静,行情选择后发制人,比如说晚上若是美股出现什么状况,行情就进一步夸大的走,或者是在周末期间在大家已经放松警惕的时候突然发动,这种可能性并非没有,当然行情并不只是单纯的下跌,上下插针的可能性也是比较大,目前还是看当前的合约情况,这个位置似乎还是在筹备抄底的合约比较多。因此,不要认为事情已经过去了就万事大吉。再来看看以太坊方面的消息,原定于3月向公众开放的以太坊Layer 2扩容方案Optimism今日宣布,将延迟公共主网上线时间,预计今年7月份上线,以确保整个社区能协调上线,让基础项目、基础设施提供方、区块浏览器、钱包、代币桥等有时间进行集成、审计和测试。以太坊目前的性能大家都知道怎么回事,链上人一多就容易卡顿,延迟大,Gas费高,当某一个项目爆发时,Gas费可能接近收益,因此当前大家都在期待ETH2.0的出现,但众所周知,ETH2.0并没有那么快上线,而Layer2扩容方案就在这个时候诞生,主要目的就是为了缓解当前ETH的性能问题,本能稍微缓解的问题看起来又要延迟。Layer2方案延迟后,利空的是谁?按理来说是Uniswap/Synthetix这些跟随迁移Layer2的原ETH公链项目,根据目前的情况,似乎不用过多担心,Vitalik在社群中称,预计Optimism会将Uniswap v3加入白名单,从而不影响Uniswap v3的L2计划。Synthetix官方人士也就此回应到,Synthetix、Chainlink和Uniswap是Optimism的earlyaccessproject,Optimism主网上线延迟并不影响我们原定3月的L2交易功能上线计划,因为我们本来就没计划等到Optimism对公众开放才使用。因此,对于SNX和Uni这两个币种倒不用过多担心,真正需要该担忧的是ETH,在没有了Layer2的及时解渴后,ETH的效率问题还会被推迟。还有真正的利好方面,即BSC、HECO这些交易所公链,今年年初这些交易所公链就在DeFi火爆,ETH性能受质疑的情况下抢了不少ETH上DeFi上的客户过来才有目前的发展,而推迟这是给了这些交易所公链更多抢客户的时间,从这个角度看,近期可以关注一下BNB和HT。

回到行情上,今天行情是早八低,即早上八点的位置最低,持续反弹,就中间稍微回调了一下,随后继续上扬,目前是站上了53000美元。

再看目前行情处于的位置,和昨天相比,今天又强势很多,因为昨天始终没有突破过压力位,而今天目前已经暂时站上了压力位,但又没有完全突破,要参考一下前天的行情。前天的情况和今天如出一辙,也是在下午阶段强势突破了前高压力位,正朝向更高位置去时,晚上鲍威尔的一通话直接令行情来了个高台跳水,而目前的行情跟前天前半段的行情一样,处于突破的时期,具体的还是要看看今天晚上美股的走势,根据昨晚美股的表现,今晚美股大概率不会差。目前还是需要提醒一下大家周末的行情,今天到目前为止的行情比较安静,即使前面提前消化过了,有这样的利好消息,庄家没理由不出来搞点事情,若是今天没有发挥的话,可能会放在周末,还是那句话,搞事情不一定就是下跌,较大的概率是快速涨跌的走势,因此接下来还是要注意点,日内关注能否站稳53000美元。

According to the Financial Association, Tesla official website supports the use of Bitcoin for payment.

Around the time before the Chinese New Year, Lamborghini announced that it would accept the payment in Bitcoin. At that time, relevant people asked Musk on Twitter whether he would support Tesla to accept the payment in Bitcoin. Musk gave a relatively positive answer at that time, and now directly confirmed the payment method.
Therefore, it is not surprising that Tesla will eventually support bitcoin payment. Some time ago, it was reported that another famous company under Musk, SpaceX, also had bitcoin on its asset list. Musk has now embraced bitcoin almost completely.
After the announcement of the news, Bitcoin also rose accordingly. The current market is joking that Musk has come out to pull the plate again when the market is in the doldrums. It has become the latest expert in calling orders in the currency circle, comparable to the previous gray scale.
After Tesla took Bitcoin as a means of payment, Tesla’s share price and Bitcoin as a whole further strengthened the linkage. If the price of Bitcoin rises in the future, Tesla will follow the rise for a great reason. When the price of Bitcoin falls, Tesla’s share price may also fall. On the contrary, the impact of Tesla’s share price on Bitcoin will also have a greater probability of strengthening.
Since Tesla has chosen to further support Bitcoin at this time, does that mean that Tesla believes that Bitcoin will go up in the future, or does it not exclude that Tesla will take further plans for Bitcoin in the future? After all, Tesla knows very well what this means.
Tesla’s calculation is quite good this time. Some time ago, it was reported that after the Biden government sent 1.9 trillion US dollars, at least 40 billion US dollars will enter the Bitcoin market. Of course, some will also flow into the stock market. However, the current price of tech stocks including Tesla’s stock is already quite high, and Tesla’s stock retreated as much as 40% some time ago. Even now, Tesla’s price is still in a position where it has dropped by 30% or so from its high level. This shows that Tesla’s current presence in the U.S. investors also means that the unstable situation is slowly emerging. If this continues, there is basically no hope of breaking new heights. Therefore, Tesla’s strengthening of ties with Bitcoin may also mean that in the future, Bitcoin will have more room for growth than U.S. stocks.
For Bitcoin, such positive news will not be rejected. On the one hand, it will improve the mood of the investors in the market. For example, today, the market was in the process of correction. The mood in the market is relatively normal, and the major communities are dead. However, the news made the market active and the currency price began to rise.
On the other hand, the operation like Tesla is not only a temporary advertisement, but also will have a long-term impact in the future. Like Paypal accepting bitcoin payments, it will be a long-term advertisement in the future. Apart from some financial institutions launching bitcoin investments, this method is also a disguised drain.
Back to the market, today was going to shake the market, mainly between 54,500 and 53,500 U.S. dollars, but in the afternoon a Paula plate directly pulled the market from under 54,000 U.S. dollars to the current 56,000 U.S. dollars.
Judging from the current situation, it has broken through the high level of yesterday’s rebound. What needs to be paid attention to next is whether this wave of surge is temporary or the atmosphere that can drive the market as a whole. A rebound is certainly a good thing, but what’s more, a temporary rebound makes some investors think that it is a return to the rally and rush into the market.

BTC market analysis

Bitcoin prices started to rise yesterday after testing the 53,000 front-line support below, but the market was again hit by the U.S. market in the early morning. The price began to fall after hitting 55,800. As of this morning, the lowest price hit around 53,500, basically reversing…

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Blockchain investment is the future, and I hope I can use my expertise and experience to help more blockchain investors.

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